1. Alabama
2. Oregon
3. Georgia
4. Stanford
5. Clemson
6. South Carolina
7. Ohio State
8. Louisville
9. Florida
10. LSU
11. Oklahoma
12. UCLA
13. Texas A&M
14. Michigan
15. Nebraska
16. TCU
17. USC
18. BYU
19. Arizona State
20. Notre Dame
21. Texas
22. Florida St
23. Oklahoma St
24. Oregon St
25. Boise St.
Others to mention:
Miami (Fl)
Wisconsin
Northwestern
Penn State
Washington
Ole Miss
Northern Illinois
Some notable changes from the AP Top 25.
1. I put UCLA higher. I think they're going to have a lot stronger team this year
2. ASU is higher, same as above, I think they're being over-looked right now and will end up winning the South.
3. BYU is on the list and pretty far up. They're going to have a tremendous year. They're my BCS busting pick. They return so much talent on both sides and have a new(much needed) Offensive Coordinator.
4. Georgia is higher. They could win it all. They have the best offense in the country and if their defense holds up, could go all the way.
5. Ohio State is way lower. I think they're very overrated. The Big 10 overall is a very poor conference right now.
6. Wisconsin and Northwestern are not on the list. The Big 10 is just not going to be great. Northwestern will be pretty good, but not great. Wisconsin is under a new coach and that should force them back a step. I do like Penn State, though, who under Bill O'Brien will surprise a lot of people again I'm sure.
7. Florida State is lower. Last year they were above mediocre and that was with an NFL quality QB.
8. TCU is higher. I think this could be the big break out for TCU to show they deserve their spot. They obviously have the best defense in the Big 12 and now they have some solid offensive talent returning, they could win that conference.
9. Texas A&M is lower. I think even if Johnny Football plays they'll take a step back. Off the field problems usually have a way of finding their way onto the field. They'll win a bunch of games, but then lose quite a few.
Monday, August 19, 2013
Friday, August 9, 2013
Predicting the Season: The Pac-12
Could be a very interesting year for the Pac-12. Two new coaches and quite a few 2nd year coaches.
California 2-10
Northwestern L
Portland St W
Ohio State L
Oregon L
Washington St L
UCLA L
Oregon St L
Washington L
Arizona L
USC L
Colorado W
Stanford L
Sonny Dyke's first year will be extremely tough. He doesn't have much to work with, this could be a huge re-build. I imagine the Bears will have a lot of close games, including ones with Washington St, Oregon St, and maybe Arizona. I can't see where they get more than 2 wins.
Washington State 5-7
Auburn L
USC L
Southern Utah W
Idaho W
Stanford L
California W
Oregon St L
Oregon L
Arizona St L
Arizona W
Utah W
Washington L
Mike Leach's tenure will make some improvements this season, and will probably earn a few upsets, but the rest of the North is just so much better than the Cougars still. They might be able to eek out another win to get bowl eligible, but it's hard to see where that comes from, since I'm already picking an upset over Arizona.
Oregon State 8-4
E Washington W
Hawaii W
Utah W
SDSU W
Colorado W
Washington State W
Cal W
Stanford L
USC L
Arizona State L
Washington W
Oregon L
I'll expect just about the same from last year's Beavers, only this time we'll see it coming. Easy first half of the season will give way to the brutal stretch in the 2nd half to their North Division rivals.
Washington 7-5
Boise St L
Illinois W
Idaho State W
Arizona W
Stanford L
Oregon L
Arizona St L
California W
Colorado W
UCLA W
Oregon St L
Washington St W
Probably another pretty good season for the Huskies. They have Keith Price coming back and if the rest of the offense gels, they could make a better run. But the North elite are just so much ahead of them still. I predict in 2014 they will make a decent run finally at the Pac-12 North.
Oregon 10-2
Nicholls St W
Virginia W
Tennessee W
California W
Colorado W
Washington W
Washington St W
UCLA L
Stanford L
Utah W
Arizona W
Oregon St W
With Chip Kelly, this team wins the National Championship. With a new coach, albeit from within the same staff, they will lose to at least one sub-par team, I predict UCLA. The Bruins come to town a week before Stanford and UCLA will have made some really good strides from last year. The Ducks will slip up, then be over matched by Stanford the week after. After the Chip Kelly era, 10-2 will seem like a bad year, but in reality it will have been a great 1st year for Helfrich.
Stanford 12-1 (North Winner)
San Jose St W
Army W
Arizona St W
Washington St W
Utah W
UCLA W
Oregon St W
Oregon W
USC W
California W
Notre Dame W
Pac-12 Championship L
Until David Shaw leaves for the NFL someday, expect the Cardinal to keep doing what they're doing. They'll have a seasoned QB and a lot of offense and defense returning. They should win the whole league, but I'm betting on the underdog in that game. Still, Stanford will go to a BCS bowl.
Colorado 3-9
Colorado St W
Cent Arkansas W
Fresno St W
Oregon St L
Oregon L
Arizona St L
Arizona L
UCLA L
Washington L
California L
USC L
Utah L
Although starting 3-0, the Buffs won't fare very well in Pac-12 play. MacIntyre's first year will be rough, but Colorado should hopefully by competitive by the end of the season.
Utah 3-9
Utah State W
Weber St W
Oregon State L
BYU L
UCLA L
Stanford L
Arizona L
USC L
Arizona St L
Oregon L
Washington St L
Colorado W
Utah won't do much better than last year, with the loss of their star defensive player. Utah was a mess at times last year, and this season will be rough for them to figure it out, ultimately the Utes just won't have the talent to compete as much with the rest of the South.
Arizona 6-6
N Arizona W
UNLV W
UTSA W
Washington L
USC L
Utah W
Colorado W
California W
UCLA L
Washington St L
Oregon L
Arizona St L
Rich Rod's second year should be a lot better, but that probably won't show up on paper. They should have some really close losses, to USC, Washington, Washington St and perhaps even UCLA. The Wildcats will need to vastly improve on defense to win more games, though.
USC 10-3 (6-3)
Hawaii W
Washington St W
Boston College W
Utah St W
Arizona St L
Arizona W
Notre Dame W
Utah W
Oregon St W
California W
Stanford L
Colorado W
UCLA L
The beginning of the season should hopefully give the Trojans a chance to work their problems out. They still have so much talent, and their QB prospects looks hopeful. Some of these games will probably be really close. With Kiffin on the hot seat, hopefully that helps him get it together, and the re-structuring of the coaching staff will probably benefit them more than is realized. Their 3 losses should come from better teams than them, though.
UCLA 8-4(6-3)
Nevada W
Nebraska L
New Mexico St W
Utah W
California W
Stanford L
Oregon W
Colorado W
Arizona W
Washington L
Arizona St L
USC W
UCLA should be both improved and set back this year. They bring back some good talent, but also lose a bunch, and with some other teams on their schedule probably improving, they will stand to lose a few. They should also win some key upsets, like to USC and maybe a Duck team that's overlooking them for Stanford.
Arizona St 11-1 (Pac-12 Winner)
Sacramento St W
Wisconsin W
Stanford L
USC W
Notre Dame W
Colorado W
Washington W
Washington St W
Utah W
Oregon St W
UCLA W
Arizona W
Pac-12 Championship W
The Sun Devils have a lot of talent coming back, including their QB, who could end up being the best passer in the conference. Combine that with a generally weak South Division and Arizona State is geared to take the south. This is Todd Graham's 2nd year as coach, something that recent history has shown can be a magical year for a program.
In the rematch with Stanford it could really be a toss up, Stanford should win, but I'm betting on a heck of a game for the Sun Devils to upset the Cardinal and go to the Rose Bowl.
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