Wednesday, October 3, 2012
How Texas can beat West Virginia
I made some grand statements regarding Texas' team this year, and this week I've come close to withdrawing them. Why?
Because West Virginia put up 70 points on Baylor and they play Texas this week.
The numbers were awe-inspiring. Geno Smith was "amazing" and "fantastic"....yadda yadda. Yes, that game was as amazing as watching a pick-up flag football game in the park where you have 1 guy rushing the QB and 10 guys running around the open field. I literally fell asleep in the 4th quarter.
When I woke up FX was already on to the next broadcast. How can your offense be amazing with no defense against you?
Before I fell asleep, I shook my head quite a few times at Baylor's defense. They made too many mistakes to count. Far too many times they left receivers wide open. And they never had pressure on Smith, at all. He was able to move freely and have as much time as he needed. Bad ingredients for stopping a talented spread offense.
If you watched the game, you could see the determination and struggle of the Baylor offense to get points on the board. They didn't score as many points, but they played better that day than West Virginia because the Mountaineers weren't giving them so many "gimmes". West Viriginia's defense was not good, but they weren't openly making mistakes, Baylor had to work to earn points. (I use the word work lightly.) Nick Florence's numbers were almost as amazing as Smith's, when you consider that, and by themselves they do look pretty good. Plus, he has an amazing beard, almost as good as the Mountaineer mascot himself.
So...obviously West Virginia is not a fluke. They can score. They do it with great receivers running great routes, speed and Geno Smith who has multiple tools. They also run the ball pretty well. Texas isn't going to have their speed, but they aren't slouches either. Baylor couldn't pressure the passer, that's something Texas can do. They also can't make coverage mistakes. Big plays for West Virginia are BIG PLAYS. Ask Baylor. Ask Clemson. You give them some room and they take it to the house.
The biggest thing, and the only thing we can glean from the Baylor game that they did right(albeit only on offense), is you have to play them tough. Stanford against USC tough. Washington against Stanford tough. Maryland against West Virginia tough. LSU against West Virginia tough. If Baylor had just one ounce more of toughness on defense, that game may have been reversed. That sounds generic, but this season more than recent years, physicality has returned to being so important. There's a reason why the SEC is the best conference, and why LSU and Bama played for the title last year. The last real spread team to win the BCS was Florida, and they played tough, it wasn't just throw the ball and be fast.
If they get to the passer, like LSU did (Smith passed for a school record that night and they still were beat hard.), Texas will disrupt the Mountaineers whole game. Their air attack is like a high wire act, if you get them off balance the whole thing comes crashing down.
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